Starting off with Manipur, the Congress looks to win a majority here, despite the ban from the CorCom. The reason is obviously the large number of former opposition candidates now standing on Congress tickets. Despite the difficulty in reaching out, there is really very little choice.
Not so in Uttarakhand, where we expect a change in the ruling party. Although the "Khanduri hai Zaroori" campaign has worked a little - and in both Garhwal and Kumaon, to be fair - the effects of the instability of the BJP Government as well as the corruption under the former CM Pokhriyal seem to set the tone for a change in guard.
In Punajb, we expect the BJP-SAD, on the back of several pro-farmer initiatives, to come out in the lead by a small margin. However, this is the least confident of our predictions and a hung house is equally likely.
In UP, we see the BSP clearly emerging as the single largest majority but stripped of its majority. In that case, it would unite with No. 3 (with the SP at No. 2). Now, who will No. 3 be is an open question that nobody can answer, although we suspect the BJP. However, with the Muslim-Dalit combination that Mayawati seeks, will the BJP join Mayawati's cabinet? Or will she combine with the Congress and use some Independents to form a fractures ministry?
Lastly, in Goa, we expect another change in guard, with the myriad of mining-related charges against CM Digambar Kamat expected to cause his ouster.
Last year, OTFS very accurately predicted the Assembly Elections results based on a keen understanding of politics. This year, we try again.
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