Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Where do the Republicans go from here?

As results from #SuperTuesday pour in, Republican hopeful Donald Trump seems to have continued his dominance, taking six states, all the major ones up for grabs tonight except Texas, which was Ted Cruz's home state. Without some major scandal, such as some dirt on his tax returns, Trump seems all set to sail into the Convention and stake claim to the party ticket, a true horror story scenario for the party's leadership in Washington, DC. CBS News now reports that the leadership is amassing big donors to launch a scathing campaign against Trump before the next round of polls (with 69 delegates up for grabs in Illinois on Mar 15).

This is a dangerous moment for the Party. Speaker Paul Ryan rightly called out Trump for not distancing himself from the KKK, because even the slightest inkling that the Party of Lincoln had anything to do with such a group would be a death knell for the party. Former hopeful Lindsay Graham also rightly pointed out that Trump would totally alienate Hispanic voters, the fastest growing voting group, one that should actually be with the Republicans. Although, Trump's performance in Nevada may belie those predictions.

The point is, we might be seeing the amazing transformation of a party through what was a grassroots movement. Trump has brought in extremely unlikely voters, voters who were disenchanted by politics as usual. Unfortunately, it seems that many of those voters will be sorely disappointed once they realize that problems cannot be solved by blaming other people for them. If Trump wins, his entire case is poised to fall flat, and that more than anything else could push the party over the cliff into oblivion.

The problem is not, as the liberal media would have us believe, that Trump is an outsider, or that he is bringing in some rather undesirable segments (read, racists), although those are probably true. The problem is that his campaign has been very high on rhetoric, anger, and assurances, and very low on real plans. If Trump fails to channelize this into something meaningful after winning the White House, it most certainly will send the Republican party into a death spiral for a generation. And that is a very dangerous scenario. 

No comments: